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The Front Range Forecast: Spring showers and warm

In Brief:

Warmth, mountains, and atmospheric moisture bring wandering afternoon showers.

The Forecast Discussion:

The normal high temperatures over this week rise from the mid-60's to the upper 60's.  The highs this week will hover, warmly, in the 70's. There is an increasing supply of moisture over the region allowing daytime heating to kick off a slowly increasing chance of afternoon thunderstorms (red arrows in Figure 1).

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

A cutoff low drifts towards Colorado later in the week (the red L in Figure 2). This pushes more moisture into Colorado (green shading in Figure 3). This will allow for more precipitation coverage and thunderstorm formation (Figure 4). We'll have to keep our eyes open for a chance for severe weather later in the week - this is the right season for it.

The GFS gives the Front Range mountains and areas south of Denver some good precipitation this week (Figure 5).  The random nature of the storms will make this map look different every day. Just for fun, you can see how little snow we'll get over the next 5 days (Figure 6).  Enjoy the Spring!

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Figure 2: the 500mb upper air map for Thursday PM from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 3: the precipitatable water map for Thursday PM from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 4: the precipitation map for Thursday PM from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 5: the 5 day precipitation forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com
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Figure 6: the 5 day 10:1 snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Sunny

Sunny

73°F

UV Index
7 High
Pressure
29.88 Falling
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
29 °F
Humidity
20%
Wind
ESE 3.2 mph
Gust
11.2 mph
Wind Chill
73 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
12 PM
75°F
Partly sunny
Today
1 PM
75°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
2 PM
76°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
3 PM
76°F
Cloudy
Today
4 PM
75°F
Cloudy
Today
5 PM
73°F
Cloudy
Today
6 PM
71°F
Cloudy
Today
7 PM
68°F
Cloudy
Today
8 PM
65°F
Cloudy
Today
9 PM
61°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
10 PM
58°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
11 PM
54°F
Intermittent clouds

7 Day Forecast

Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

76 °F

Warm with times of clouds and sun


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday Night

46 °F

Clearing


Partly sunny w/ showers

Thursday

69 °F

Partly sunny, windy and not as warm with a couple of showers


Rain and snow

Thursday Night

30 °F

Colder with a little snow at times, accumulating a coating to an inch; rain mixed in early; breezy in the evening


Snow

Friday

35 °F

Much colder with snow and flurries at times, accumulating a coating to an inch; watch for slippery spots


Snow

Friday Night

30 °F

Snow and flurries at times in the evening with little or no accumulation; otherwise, cloudy; storm total snowfall an inch or two


Flurries

Saturday

46 °F

A couple of morning flurries; otherwise, mostly cloudy and chilly


Mostly clear

Saturday Night

28 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Showers

Sunday

65 °F

Cloudy and milder with a touch of rain


Clear

Sunday Night

35 °F

Clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:21 AM
Sunset
7:40 PM

Based on AccuWeather data