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Mon Update: The Front Range Forecast: More warmth, little rain

In Brief:

Near record heat and little chance of rain.

Monday Update:

The great western ridge moves in again bringing back late season 80's for highs.  The normal high temperature is only 65F now - this is really warm. Records for these dates are still a bit warmer, in the mid to upper 80's. We see a hint of cool weather and showers about 9 days from now, but that can certainly change.

Stay tuned!

figure2_10162023
Figure 2 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Longmont from weatherunderground.com

End Monday update.

 

Special Note:  

This Saturday morning, we'll have a partial eclipse of the sun peaking around 10:30am.  This eclipse will, at no moment, be safe to look at in ANY WAY except by certified eclipse glasses (undamaged and new) or a telescope with appropriate front end solar filtering.

I will be opening the Cherrywood Observatory for people to come look.  Please do not bring any viewing aids (like binoculars) or welder goggles.  To find my address and details, search for the Cherrywood Observatory eclipse on Nextdoor.  I hope to see you there.

Thur Update:

The low and storm are pulling away.  I received about 0.16 in of water yesterday and a trace or more today. The first freezing temperatures are headed in overnight tonight.  There is a freeze watch for I-25 cities and the eastern plains.  Cover those plants or bring them inside!

figure1u_10122023
Figure 1 update: freeze watch map from the NWS.

End Thur update.

The Forecast Discussion:

The ridge holds on for a couple more days. We'll see above normal temperatures into Wednesday morning (Figure 1). Afternoons get a bit breezier each day.

figure1_10082023
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Longmont from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

A healthy cut-off low rolls over Colorado Wednesday afternoon and Thursday. (Figure 2). At present, northern Colorado will see the precipitation, rain on the low lands, snow in the northern mountains (Figure 3). Rainfall amounts do look pretty light, though (Figure 4).

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Figure 2: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Thursday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 3: the surface 6 hour precipitation forecast map for Thursday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
figure4_10082023
Figure 4: the 5 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Partly sunny

Partly sunny

67°F

UV Index
5 Moderate
Pressure
30.26 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
48 °F
Humidity
49%
Wind
E 2.2 mph
Gust
4.3 mph
Wind Chill
67 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
1 PM
69°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
2 PM
71°F
Thunderstorms
Today
3 PM
74°F
Cloudy
Today
4 PM
72°F
Cloudy
Today
5 PM
69°F
Thunderstorms
Today
6 PM
65°F
Cloudy
Today
7 PM
64°F
Cloudy
Today
8 PM
61°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
9 PM
58°F
Partly cloudy
Today
10 PM
55°F
Partly cloudy
Today
11 PM
52°F
Mostly clear
Tomorrow
12 AM
52°F
Mostly clear

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday

74 °F

Some sun, then turning cloudy with a couple of thundershowers this afternoon


Partly cloudy

Wednesday Night

48 °F

Clearing


Mostly sunny

Thursday

77 °F

Mostly sunny and pleasant


Clear

Thursday Night

46 °F

Clear


Sunny

Friday

84 °F

Plenty of sunshine


Mostly cloudy

Friday Night

50 °F

Increasing clouds


Partly sunny

Saturday

83 °F

Partly sunny


Mostly clear

Saturday Night

53 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Sunday

83 °F

Partial sunshine


Mostly clear

Sunday Night

53 °F

Mainly clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:43 AM
Sunset
7:06 PM

Based on AccuWeather data