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The Front Range Forecast: Cold, not much snow

In Brief:

A potentially big storm seems to have vanished for Monday, colder than normal for a while.

Forecast Discussion:

We remain chilly this weekend with very light snow on Saturday (Figure 1).

Leading up to the weekend, many (but not all) models were beginning to show another big hit (6+ inches) of snow for the Front Range Sunday into Monday (Figure 2). This morning, it vanished from the models.  Now there is a chance of a coating to an inch or snow around the region (Figure 3). I was so hoping for another snow day.

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com

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Figure 2: the 1.5 day old forecast for the Monday storm from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

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Figure 3: the GFS forecast for the Monday storm snowfall made Saturday from weather5280.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The airflow over the West will be out of the north for much of the week (Figure 4). This north flow will keep the cold air coming. You will see small snow chances now and then as ripples travel down the flow giving us a 2 to 5 inches of snow over the region over the next 10 days (Figure 1 and 5).  It will remain chilly to cold throughout.  Will another big storm form out of the pattern that just isn't showing up now?  It might!  Stay tuned.

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Figure 4: the 500mb upper air forecast map for midnight Wed/Thur from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 5: the 10 day snowfall forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

46°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.64 Rising
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
29 °F
Humidity
53%
Wind
NNW 2.1 mph
Gust
6.9 mph
Wind Chill
46 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
4 PM
45°F
Showers
Today
5 PM
43°F
Cloudy
Today
6 PM
41°F
Partly cloudy
Today
7 PM
39°F
Flurries
Today
8 PM
37°F
Flurries
Today
9 PM
34°F
Flurries
Today
10 PM
32°F
Cloudy
Today
11 PM
31°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
12 AM
29°F
Flurries
Tomorrow
1 AM
28°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
27°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
26°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ showers

Friday

46 °F

Milder with intervals of clouds and sunshine; a passing afternoon shower or two


Snow

Friday Night

26 °F

Snow and flurries this evening with little or no accumulation; otherwise, overcast


Flurries

Saturday

32 °F

Low clouds and colder with a little snow, accumulating a coating to an inch


Flurries

Saturday Night

16 °F

A little evening snow, accumulating a coating to an inch; otherwise, cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

34 °F

Mostly cloudy and cold


Flurries

Sunday Night

21 °F

Cloudy with a few stray snowflakes


Flurries

Monday

30 °F

Cloudy and cold with a few flurries


Snow

Monday Night

5 °F

Snow and flurries at times in the evening; otherwise, cloudy and frigid


Snow

Tuesday

16 °F

Low clouds and colder; snow and flurries at times in the afternoon


Snow

Tuesday Night

2 °F

Frigid with snow and flurries at times


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:55 AM
Sunset
5:35 PM

Based on AccuWeather data