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The Front Range Forcast: Warm, possible Christmas snow

In Brief

Very warm dry weather all week with "maybe" a Christmas Eve storm.

Forecast Discussion:

A persistent western ridge will give us really warm and calm conditions through Friday.  In Colorado, this is shorts and t-shirt weather (Figure 1). See the Longer Range forecast for what 'might' happen for Christmas.

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Longmont from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The upper air patter for Christmas Eve, from the GFS (Figure 2) is a weird mess.  I've not seen a scramble quite like this before.  It gives the mountains some snow but nothing really down to I-25 by midnight Dec 25/Dec 26 (Figure 3). The Canadian model looks more 'normal' to me (but still messy - Figure 4) and gives us a whopping 8-10 inches of snow Christmas Eve (Figure 5)!! 

This forecast is still very far away and there is a LOT of disagreement between the models.  Send a note to Santa requesting snow for Christmas! Check back here!

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Figure 2: the Christmas Eve 500mb upper air forecast map from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 3: the GFS snowfall totals through Christmas night midnight from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 4: the Christmas Eve 500mb upper air forecast map from the Canadian model and tropicaltidbits.com
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Figure 5: the Canadian snowfall totals through Christmas night midnight from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

36°F

UV Index
3 Moderate
Pressure
30.06 Falling
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
15 °F
Humidity
44%
Wind
NE 4.3 mph
Gust
8 mph
Wind Chill
33 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
1 PM
38°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
2 PM
40°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
3 PM
41°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
4 PM
39°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
5 PM
36°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
6 PM
33°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
7 PM
29°F
Cloudy
Today
8 PM
25°F
Cloudy
Today
9 PM
21°F
Cloudy
Today
10 PM
17°F
Cloudy
Today
11 PM
15°F
Snow
Tomorrow
12 AM
14°F
Snow

7 Day Forecast

Mostly cloudy

Monday

41 °F

Turning cloudy


Flurries

Monday Night

10 °F

Cloudy with snow, accumulating an inch or two


Flurries

Tuesday

22 °F

Cloudy and colder with a few flurries; watch for slippery spots early


Snow

Tuesday Night

5 °F

Breezy in the evening; frigid with snow and flurries at times, accumulating 1-3 inches; untreated surfaces will be slippery


Snow

Wednesday

14 °F

Occasional morning snow, accumulating 3-6 inches; otherwise, cloudy and cold; storm total snowfall 4-8"; expect slippery travel early, then some improvement


Cold

Wednesday Night

-8 °F

Partly cloudy and very cold with the temperature approaching the record low of -13 set in 1895; extreme cold can be dangerous for outdoor activities


Intermittent clouds

Thursday

29 °F

Cold with intervals of clouds and sunshine; extreme cold can be dangerous for outdoor activities


Mostly cloudy

Thursday Night

13 °F

Becoming cloudy


Partly sunny

Friday

44 °F

Not as cold with sun and some clouds


Rain and snow

Friday Night

18 °F

Overcast; a mix of snow and rain in the evening followed by a flurry late


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
7:00 AM
Sunset
5:30 PM

Based on AccuWeather data