Skip to content
Join our Newsletter

The Front Range Forcast: Warm, possible Christmas snow

In Brief

Very warm dry weather all week with "maybe" a Christmas Eve storm.

Forecast Discussion:

A persistent western ridge will give us really warm and calm conditions through Friday.  In Colorado, this is shorts and t-shirt weather (Figure 1). See the Longer Range forecast for what 'might' happen for Christmas.

figure1_12162023
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Longmont from weatherunderground.com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The upper air patter for Christmas Eve, from the GFS (Figure 2) is a weird mess.  I've not seen a scramble quite like this before.  It gives the mountains some snow but nothing really down to I-25 by midnight Dec 25/Dec 26 (Figure 3). The Canadian model looks more 'normal' to me (but still messy - Figure 4) and gives us a whopping 8-10 inches of snow Christmas Eve (Figure 5)!! 

This forecast is still very far away and there is a LOT of disagreement between the models.  Send a note to Santa requesting snow for Christmas! Check back here!

figure2_12162023
Figure 2: the Christmas Eve 500mb upper air forecast map from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
figure3_12162023
Figure 3: the GFS snowfall totals through Christmas night midnight from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
figure4_12162023
Figure 4: the Christmas Eve 500mb upper air forecast map from the Canadian model and tropicaltidbits.com
figure5_12162023
Figure 5: the Canadian snowfall totals through Christmas night midnight from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
Read more


Comments


Current Weather

Clear

Clear

34°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.31 Falling
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
24 °F
Humidity
67%
Wind
NNW 1.7 mph
Gust
4.1 mph
Wind Chill
34 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
6 AM
33°F
Clear
Today
7 AM
35°F
Sunny
Today
8 AM
39°F
Sunny
Today
9 AM
43°F
Sunny
Today
10 AM
49°F
Sunny
Today
11 AM
54°F
Sunny
Today
12 PM
59°F
Sunny
Today
1 PM
63°F
Mostly sunny
Today
2 PM
66°F
Partly sunny
Today
3 PM
68°F
Partly sunny
Today
4 PM
70°F
Partly sunny
Today
5 PM
71°F
Partly sunny

7 Day Forecast

Mostly sunny

Tuesday

71 °F

Mostly sunny, pleasant and warmer


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

45 °F

Partly cloudy


Intermittent clouds

Wednesday

78 °F

Warm with times of clouds and sun


Partly cloudy w/ t-storms

Wednesday Night

45 °F

A thundershower in spots in the evening; otherwise, clearing


Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Thursday

73 °F

Sunny to partly cloudy and windy; a thundershower in the afternoon


Showers

Thursday Night

32 °F

Cloudy and colder with showers


Rain and snow

Friday

38 °F

Much colder with periods of snow and rain with little or no accumulation


Snow

Friday Night

34 °F

Snow and flurries at times, accumulating a coating to an inch


Intermittent clouds

Saturday

49 °F

Chilly with times of clouds and sun


Mostly cloudy

Saturday Night

33 °F

Mostly cloudy


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:23 AM
Sunset
7:39 PM

Based on AccuWeather data