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Monday Update: The Front Range Forecast: Bitter cold and some snow

Monday morning update:

I know everyone wants to know snowfall totals, but the big story with this system is the prolonged cold. Let's talk about the snow though - from Longmont to Broomfield we should see about 1-2 inches a day Monday to Wednesday. Areas east of I-25 will see very little show while the foothills will see 9-12 inches over the week according to the 'fluffier' 15:1 snowfall ratio map from the GFS (Figure 1 update).

The forecasters at weather5280.com (Figure 2 update) don't go that high, but give the Longmont-Broomfield region 2-4 inches. The roads along I-25 shouldn't get bad, often, since there will be just a little snow each day, and it will be very 'dry' due to the low temperatures.

The cold front should sweep down the state between noon and 2 p.m. (dashed line Figure 3 update). We won't get back to freezing until Saturday midday next weekend. I expect single-digit highs Tuesday and 2-3 nights below zero lows Tue/Wed/Thur. With a stiff breeze at times, wind chills will be very painful and dangerous. As I write, we do not have any weather statements, watches, or warnings along I-25 or even up in Estes Park. Still - stay warm!

 

Figure1u_02212022
Figure 1 update: the 15:1 snowfall total forecast from the GFS and weather5280.com for the next 7 days.
Figure2u_02212022
Figure 2 update: the hand-drawn storm snowfall forecast from the forecasters at weather5280.com
Figure3u_02212022
Figure 3 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Broomfield from weatherunderground.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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