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Longmont Weather Forecast: Seasonable dry weather for the forseeable future

In brief:

We warm to seasonable temperatures with dry conditions looking 10 days out.

Forecast discussion:

A dry trough is zipping past the state on Saturday (Halloween) with northwest flow aloft over the state (Figure 1 below).

 

Figure1_10312020Figure 1: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Saturday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

Local fires are still smouldering at a very low level, but upstream fires in other states will send a bit of haze our way (Figure 2).

 

Figure2_10312020Figure 2: the HRRR smoke at all levels forecast map for Saturday (Halloween) afternoon from NOAA.

We will be cooler than normal for the weekend and dry.  A cold front arriving early Saturday morning will kick up winds. Winds in the mountains will blow stronger than firefighters would like Saturday (Figure 3).

 

Figure3_10312020Figure 3: the 10 day graphical forecast from weather5280.com for Longmont, CO.

 

The longer-range forecast:

As the week wears on, a semi-strong ridge will return to the West and central U.S., warming us back to a bit above normal (Figure 4 and 3).

 

Figure4_10312020Figure 4: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Tuesday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

Sadly, we remain very dry for the next 10 days. The GFS gives the mountains a light sprinkle about a week from now (Figure 5). Snowfall remains very light in the northern mountains as well (Figure 6).

The Halloween forecast:

At 6 p.m.: The temperature will be 46 degrees with winds from the northeast at 6 to 10mph and clear skies.
At 9 p.m.: The temperature will be 37 degrees with light winds from the east at 3 mph under clear skies and a full moon.

I saw on another site that we've not had a full moon (and Blue Moon — second full moon in a month) on Halloween night since 1944. Strange. Sounds like 2020.

Election Day forecast:

Tuesday will be partly cloudy with a high near 70 degrees and  low near 38. There will be no precipitation and light west winds. You won't notice the weather in Colorado on Election Day.

Figure5_10312020Figure 5: the 10 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 

Figure6_10312020Figure 6: the 10 day snowfall total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Drizzle

Drizzle

42°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.17 Steady
Visibility
3 miles
Dewpoint
40 °F
Humidity
95%
Wind
NNE 2.6 mph
Gust
4.8 mph
Wind Chill
41 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
11 PM
42°F
Rain
Tomorrow
12 AM
43°F
Rain
Tomorrow
1 AM
43°F
Rain
Tomorrow
2 AM
43°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
3 AM
43°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
4 AM
43°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
5 AM
43°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
6 AM
43°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
7 AM
45°F
Intermittent clouds
Tomorrow
8 AM
48°F
Fog
Tomorrow
9 AM
51°F
Fog
Tomorrow
10 AM
56°F
Fog

7 Day Forecast

Showers

Friday

46 °F

A thick cloud cover and chilly with a few showers


Mostly cloudy w/ showers

Friday Night

41 °F

Rain and drizzle this evening; otherwise, low clouds breaking


Mostly cloudy

Saturday

74 °F

Areas of fog in the morning; otherwise, warmer with variable cloudiness


Clear

Saturday Night

41 °F

Clear


Partly sunny

Sunday

80 °F

Very warm with sunshine mixing with some clouds; breezy in the afternoon; elevated fire risk due to gusty winds and low humidity


Partly cloudy

Sunday Night

46 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Monday

64 °F

Turning cloudy, windy and cooler; a shower in spots in the afternoon


Mostly cloudy

Monday Night

39 °F

Cloudy in the evening, then partly cloudy late


Intermittent clouds

Tuesday

66 °F

Sun and clouds


Mostly clear

Tuesday Night

39 °F

Mainly clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:08 AM
Sunset
7:49 PM

Based on AccuWeather data