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Longmont Weather Forecast: Seasonable dry weather for the forseeable future

In brief:

We warm to seasonable temperatures with dry conditions looking 10 days out.

Forecast discussion:

A dry trough is zipping past the state on Saturday (Halloween) with northwest flow aloft over the state (Figure 1 below).

 

Figure1_10312020Figure 1: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Saturday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

Local fires are still smouldering at a very low level, but upstream fires in other states will send a bit of haze our way (Figure 2).

 

Figure2_10312020Figure 2: the HRRR smoke at all levels forecast map for Saturday (Halloween) afternoon from NOAA.

We will be cooler than normal for the weekend and dry.  A cold front arriving early Saturday morning will kick up winds. Winds in the mountains will blow stronger than firefighters would like Saturday (Figure 3).

 

Figure3_10312020Figure 3: the 10 day graphical forecast from weather5280.com for Longmont, CO.

 

The longer-range forecast:

As the week wears on, a semi-strong ridge will return to the West and central U.S., warming us back to a bit above normal (Figure 4 and 3).

 

Figure4_10312020Figure 4: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Tuesday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

Sadly, we remain very dry for the next 10 days. The GFS gives the mountains a light sprinkle about a week from now (Figure 5). Snowfall remains very light in the northern mountains as well (Figure 6).

The Halloween forecast:

At 6 p.m.: The temperature will be 46 degrees with winds from the northeast at 6 to 10mph and clear skies.
At 9 p.m.: The temperature will be 37 degrees with light winds from the east at 3 mph under clear skies and a full moon.

I saw on another site that we've not had a full moon (and Blue Moon — second full moon in a month) on Halloween night since 1944. Strange. Sounds like 2020.

Election Day forecast:

Tuesday will be partly cloudy with a high near 70 degrees and  low near 38. There will be no precipitation and light west winds. You won't notice the weather in Colorado on Election Day.

Figure5_10312020Figure 5: the 10 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 

Figure6_10312020Figure 6: the 10 day snowfall total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

48°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.19 Rising
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
40 °F
Humidity
73%
Wind
NNE 5.5 mph
Gust
10.9 mph
Wind Chill
45 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
11 PM
48°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
12 AM
49°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
1 AM
48°F
Thunderstorms
Tomorrow
2 AM
48°F
Thunderstorms
Tomorrow
3 AM
47°F
Thunderstorms
Tomorrow
4 AM
46°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
5 AM
46°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
6 AM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
7 AM
45°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
8 AM
45°F
Showers
Tomorrow
9 AM
46°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
10 AM
47°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ t-storms

Thursday

67 °F

Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a thunderstorm in the area late this afternoon


Thunderstorms

Thursday Night

45 °F

Overcast with a thundershower in spots


Cloudy

Friday

51 °F

A shower in places in the morning; otherwise, a thick cloud cover and cooler


Mostly cloudy

Friday Night

45 °F

Low clouds breaking


Mostly cloudy w/ t-storms

Saturday

73 °F

Variable cloudiness with a thundershower; warmer


Clear

Saturday Night

43 °F

Clear


Partly sunny

Sunday

82 °F

Warmer with sunshine mixing with some clouds; elevated fire risk due to gusty winds and low humidity


Mostly clear

Sunday Night

43 °F

Mainly clear


Mostly cloudy

Monday

61 °F

Turning cloudy and cooler; a shower in spots in the afternoon


Intermittent clouds

Monday Night

37 °F

Clearing


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:10 AM
Sunset
7:48 PM

Based on AccuWeather data