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Longmont Weather Forecast: Good snow totals and a slow, dry warm up

In Brief:

The weather returns to a dry pattern but with a seasonable slight warm up over the next week.

Forecast Discussion:

Snowfall in our most recent storm was very impressive with many locations receiving nearly a foot of snow north of Longmont and up to 1.5 feet of snow around Red Feather Lakes (and the Cameron Peak Fire - Figure 1). Denver saw more like a half a foot of snow. It was a great dose of moisture that was greatly needed.

 

Figure1_10282929Figure 1: the snowfall total samples for Colorado as of Monday AM from CBS news Denver.

The smoke over the next day is minimal (Figure 2).

 

Figure2_10282929Figure 2: the HRRR smoke at all levels forecast map for Wednesday afternoon from NOAA.

Our big storm has become a cut-off low down will bring snow and freezing rain to Texas and Oklahoma. We are sitting on the dry, north side of the upper level low (Figure 3).

 

Figure3_10282929Figure 3: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Wednesday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

We warm to the 50s in the short term and watch the snow slowly melt (Figure 4).

 

Figure4_10282929Figure 4: The weather returns to a dry pattern but with a seasonable slight warm up over the next week.

 

The Longer Range Forecast:

Another trough passes this upcoming weekend. It will kick up winds again (see orange box in Figure 4 and the trough in Figure 5). This will be a dry cold front that will cool us to the 40s for a day.

 

Figure5_10282929Figure 5: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Saturday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

As you can see in Figures 4, 6 and 7, we don't expect any precipitation over the next ten days.  

Halloween Forecast:

IF you are going out for any reason on Halloween Night - it looks like it will be clear under a very full moon.
At 6pm the tempreature will be 46F with brisky winds at 10mph out of the west.  By 9pm, it will be 36F with light winds out of the east.
There is no precipitation in the forcast.

Figure6_10282929Figure 6: the 10 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 

Figure7_10282929Figure 7: the 10 day snowfall total from the GFS and weather5280.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly clear

Mostly clear

30°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
30.01 Falling
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
26 °F
Humidity
83%
Wind
WNW 1.1 mph
Gust
2.3 mph
Wind Chill
30 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
8 AM
31°F
Partly sunny
Today
9 AM
35°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
10 AM
40°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
11 AM
47°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
12 PM
51°F
Partly sunny
Today
1 PM
55°F
Partly sunny
Today
2 PM
58°F
Mostly sunny
Today
3 PM
59°F
Mostly sunny
Today
4 PM
61°F
Partly sunny
Today
5 PM
57°F
Intermittent clouds
Today
6 PM
53°F
Mostly cloudy
Today
7 PM
50°F
Intermittent clouds

7 Day Forecast

Intermittent clouds

Saturday

61 °F

A blend of sun and clouds


Intermittent clouds

Saturday Night

34 °F

Partly cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

57 °F

Rather cloudy


Rain and snow

Sunday Night

32 °F

Cloudy with a couple of showers; perhaps mixed with snow late


Flurries

Monday

46 °F

Considerable cloudiness and cooler with a couple of snow showers


Mostly clear

Monday Night

25 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Tuesday

54 °F

Warmer with sunshine and some clouds


Flurries

Tuesday Night

29 °F

Overcast with a bit of snow


Snow

Wednesday

35 °F

Cloudy and colder with a chance for snow


Snow

Wednesday Night

22 °F

Cloudy with a chance for snow


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
7:32 AM
Sunset
5:56 PM

Based on AccuWeather data