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The Front Range Forecast: Light snow, bitter cold

In Brief:

Very cold air makes a short return and brings a little snow to I-25, a lot in the mountains.

Forecast Discussion:

The big news is again an arctic invasion of very cold air. The front will sweep down the Plains mid-Saturday afternoon (Figure 1). Sunday and Monday will have highs hovering around 10F (maybe only single digits). The very cold air will be shallow and will not be able to climb over the Rockies to the west (Figure 4).

There is some snow with possible periods of freezing rain or drizzle and/or sleet Saturday evening.  Another increase in snow chances occurs Sunday evening.  Some freezing precipitation may fall, off and on, through Monday midday. Most of the state will be seeing snow and winter precipitation on Sunday (Figure 2) with heavy snow in the north and northwest mountains. This shows up well on the weather5280 forecasters map (Figure 3). He has a Trace to 2 inches along I-25 south of Loveland and 2-4 inches total just to the west of the interstate and up in Fort Collins. Snowfall is impressive to the northwest in the mountains!  This same pattern is visible in the GFS snowfall map (Figure 5). I didn't go with the 15:1 snowfall ratios since we should see more of the snow before the very cold air is in place.

 

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Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast for Denver from weatherunderground.com
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Figure 2: the NWS surface forecast map for Sunday.
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Figure 3: the storm snowfall total forecast from the forecasters at weather5280.com
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Figure 4: the surface temperature anomaly map for Monday noon from the GFS and weather5280
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Figure 5: the 60 hour snowfall (10:1 ratio) forecast from the GFS and weather5280com

The Longer Range Forecast:

The cold air begins to slosh off to the east on Tuesday but we don't see 40's return until Friday (Figure 1) and no additional notable snowfall over the next 10 days except up in the mountains (Figure 6).

figure6_01282023
Figure 6: the 10 day snowfall (10:1 ratio) forecast from the GFS and weather5280com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
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Current Weather

Mostly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

46°F

UV Index
1 Low
Pressure
29.63 Steady
Visibility
8 miles
Dewpoint
28 °F
Humidity
50%
Wind
NNW 2.3 mph
Gust
5.1 mph
Wind Chill
46 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
4 PM
45°F
Showers
Today
5 PM
43°F
Partly sunny
Today
6 PM
41°F
Partly cloudy
Today
7 PM
39°F
Flurries
Today
8 PM
37°F
Flurries
Today
9 PM
34°F
Flurries
Today
10 PM
32°F
Cloudy
Today
11 PM
31°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
12 AM
29°F
Flurries
Tomorrow
1 AM
28°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
27°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
26°F
Cloudy

7 Day Forecast

Partly sunny w/ showers

Friday

46 °F

Milder with intervals of clouds and sunshine; a passing afternoon shower or two


Snow

Friday Night

26 °F

Snow and flurries this evening with little or no accumulation; otherwise, overcast


Flurries

Saturday

32 °F

Low clouds and colder with a little snow, accumulating a coating to an inch


Flurries

Saturday Night

16 °F

A little evening snow, accumulating a coating to an inch; otherwise, cloudy


Mostly cloudy

Sunday

34 °F

Mostly cloudy and cold


Flurries

Sunday Night

21 °F

Cloudy with a few stray snowflakes


Flurries

Monday

30 °F

Cloudy and cold with a few flurries


Snow

Monday Night

5 °F

Snow and flurries at times in the evening; otherwise, cloudy and frigid


Snow

Tuesday

16 °F

Low clouds and colder; snow and flurries at times in the afternoon


Snow

Tuesday Night

2 °F

Frigid with snow and flurries at times


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
6:55 AM
Sunset
5:35 PM

Based on AccuWeather data