Skip to content
Join our Newsletter

Longmont Weather Forecast: Heat ends; cool and damp arrives

In Brief:

A front arriving Tuesday PM begins a period of cool, showery weather.

Tuesday update:

Say goodbye to the heat!  A cold front arrives around 3-4pm today and temperatures will begin to drop (blue line Figure 1 update). The temperature drop from Monday to Wednesday will be about 25-30F. Rain chances arrive with this front and with another reinforcing front that arrives Wednesday afternoon (Figure 1 update). The GFS gives us about 0.75 to 1 inch of water (very significant!! Figure 2 update). Note, the weatherunderground model keeps us below 1/4th of an inch (Figure 1 update).

The nearby mountains will see 2-5 inches of snow at the higher elevations (Figure 3 update).  Go find those light jackets!

Figure1u_09282021
Figure 1 update: the 10 day graphical forecast for Longmont from weatherunderground.com
Figure2u_09282021
Figure 2 update: the 5 day rainfall total from the GFS and weather5280.com
Figure3u_09282021
Figure 3 update: the 5 day 10:1 ratio snowfall (snow to rain amount) from the GFS and weather5280.com

End Tuesday update.

 

Forecast Discussion:

We have a big change coming in the weather. This is a new development since the model runs in this weeks video.  Through Tuesday, a big ridge remains in the west (Figure 2, blue line) and holds strong. We will see temperatures far above normal (mid 70s right now) as it does (Figure 1). Some smoke will keep leaking into Colorado from the West (Figure 3). It looks like the first cold front will arrive in the afternoon Tuesday.

Figure1_09252021
Figure 1: the 10 day graphical forecast from weatherunderground.com for Longmont, CO.
Figure2_09252021
Figure 2: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Monday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
Figure3_09252021
Figure 3: the HRRR smoke at all levels forecast map for Sunday afternoon from NOAA.

The Longer Range Forecast:

An approaching trough (red line Figure 4) will reconnect with the cutoff low in the desert southwest (Figure 2). Some good rains return to the mountains over the next five days (Figure 5) and even some snow! (Figure 6).  Return to the Longmont Leader for updates as this change approaches.

Figure4_09252021
Figure 4: the 500mb upper air forecast map for Wednesday noon from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com
Figure5_09252021
Figure 5: the 5 day precipitation total from the GFS and weather5280.com
Figure6_09252021
Figure 6: the forecast total snowfall through Thursday noon (10:1 ratio) from the GFS and tropicaltidbits.com

 


About the Author: John Ensworth

John Ensworth used to work from Longmont as the PI for the NASA through the IGES (The Institute for Global Environmental Strategies). He now teaches technology, algebra, astronomy, meteorology, film school, and Lego robotics to middle/high school.
Read more


Comments


Current Weather

Cloudy

Cloudy

24°F

UV Index
0 Low
Pressure
29.88 Rising
Visibility
4 miles
Dewpoint
22 °F
Humidity
91%
Wind
NE 3.2 mph
Gust
6.4 mph
Wind Chill
20 °F

Hourly Forecast

Today
6 PM
26°F
Cloudy
Today
7 PM
27°F
Cloudy
Today
8 PM
26°F
Cloudy
Today
9 PM
26°F
Flurries
Today
10 PM
25°F
Flurries
Today
11 PM
24°F
Flurries
Tomorrow
12 AM
23°F
Flurries
Tomorrow
1 AM
22°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
2 AM
21°F
Cloudy
Tomorrow
3 AM
20°F
Flurries
Tomorrow
4 AM
20°F
Flurries
Tomorrow
5 AM
19°F
Flurries

7 Day Forecast

Freezing rain

Saturday

27 °F

Mainly cloudy and colder; watch for slippery spots early


Snow

Saturday Night

17 °F

A little snow at times with little or no accumulation


Mostly cloudy w/ flurries

Sunday

31 °F

A little accumulation of snow early in the morning; otherwise, clouds giving way to some sun and cold


Mostly clear

Sunday Night

16 °F

Clear to partly cloudy


Partly sunny

Monday

39 °F

Partly sunny and not as cold


Mostly cloudy w/ flurries

Monday Night

22 °F

Increasing clouds with a bit of snow late with little or no accumulation


Snow

Tuesday

26 °F

Cloudy with occasional snow and flurries, mainly early; colder


Partly cloudy

Tuesday Night

3 °F

Partly cloudy and colder


Sunny

Wednesday

36 °F

Not as cold with plenty of sunshine


Mostly clear

Wednesday Night

14 °F

Mainly clear


Sunrise and Sunset

Sunrise
7:23 AM
Sunset
4:48 PM

Based on AccuWeather data